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Explaining policy punctuations: A multivariate model of the punctuated equilibrium model of public agency budgets

Robinson, Scott, Caver, Floun'say, Meier, Kenneth John and O' Toole, Lawrence 2004. Explaining policy punctuations: A multivariate model of the punctuated equilibrium model of public agency budgets. Presented at: Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, 15-18 Apr 2004.

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Abstract

Recent policy research has turned from the testing of static, cross-sectional theories to time-serial analyses of dynamic processes. This attention has renewed interest in the debate over incrementalism in policy development. Recent efforts have suggested that policy histories involve a series of short periods of instability followed by extended periods of stability. These theories are collectively known as punctuated equilibrium theories of policy. Efforts to test these models of policy have been limited to descriptive analyses of samples of policy budgets or univariate hypothesis testing. This paper presents a strategy for multivariate hypothesis testing of punctuated equilibrium models based on the theoretical foundations of punctuated equilibrium theory. The strategy is illustrated with a test of the effects of organization size and bureaucratization on the budgetary process.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Date Type: Completion
Status: Published
Schools: Business (Including Economics)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance
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Last Modified: 04 Jun 2017 05:11
URI: http://orca-mwe.cf.ac.uk/id/eprint/49356

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